2010 ties 2005 for hottest year on record

faethor

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' NOAA has released its annual State of the Climate report for the year 2010, and it goes down in the record books as another hot one, in a statistical tie with 2005 as the warmest year on record. But what's most striking about this past year's data is how it fits into the larger trend. The list of the 10 warmest years since NOAA's records started now features nine years from the last decade, and we haven't seen a year with temperatures below the 20th century average since 1976. '

In case you want to check this yourself all of NOAA's stuff is public domain. Go here

NASA agrees
'RELEASE : 11-014 NASA Research Finds 2010 Tied For Warmest Year On Record

WASHINGTON -- Global surface temperatures in 2010 tied 2005 as the warmest on record, according to an analysis released Wednesday by researchers at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York.

The two years differed by less than 0.018 degrees Fahrenheit. The difference is smaller than the uncertainty in comparing the temperatures of recent years, putting them into a statistical tie. In the new analysis, the next warmest years are 1998, 2002, 2003, 2006, 2007 and 2009, which are statistically tied for third warmest year. The GISS records begin in 1880.

The analysis found 2010 approximately 1.34 F warmer than the average global surface temperature from 1951 to 1980. To measure climate change, scientists look at long-term trends. The temperature trend, including data from 2010, shows the climate has warmed by approximately 0.36 F per decade since the late 1970s'

..

My 2 cents... What the trend shows is a sawtooth pattern of continual increase. About every 10-12 years the temp dips back down and then grows hotter than the period before. I know some here think Dec 2010 is some return of Global Cooling. I wonder, out loud obviously, is perhaps it might not be the beginning for that first large drop at the beginning of the sawtooth? Who/What is right of course won't be known for years. The Dec 2010 cooling is worth considering but we need to also consider the timeframes surrounding this date. Which clearly we're not far enough out to even know how 2011 will truly perform. Scientific observation will continue.
 
In the UK it was considered one of the warmest and wettest on record.

Seems that the weather isn't so much getting warmer overall, but the differences between summer and winter becoming more extreme.

Looking forward to more snow come February and perhaps a little flooding here in Yorkshire in the summer...
 
It appears the sunrise came 2 days early this year? LINK
 
faethor said:
It appears the sunrise came 2 days early this year? LINK
The melted horizon theory could work, I suppose, but a mirage could do this too. If warm air is overlying cool air then people would see the sun even though it was technically still below the horizon.
 
redrumloa said:
And it releases this as 49 out of 50 states are blasted with snow.

http://www.foxnews.com/weather/2011/01/ ... e-florida/
I don't see your 'blasted' line applying. :?: These are two different things in the details. The first is a question of how overall temps worldwide turn out for 1 year. The second is an example of 1 month, not within the year in question, and localized to the US.

BTW, Hawaii has mountains which on the Big Island get snow with enough frequency that there's chairlifts and a ski hill on top of the island.
 
FluffyMcDeath said:
The melted horizon theory could work, I suppose, but a mirage could do this too. If warm air is overlying cool air then people would see the sun even though it was technically still below the horizon.
It'll be interesting to see this researched more.
 
redrumloa said:
Sorry I don't see the relationship. Posted here was a report about the world in the year of 2010. You're posting something about an event outside the dataset (different year) with an incongruent duration (about 94% less) and incongruent of the amount of datapoint (about 96% less).
 
faethor said:
redrumloa said:
Sorry I don't see the relationship. Posted here was a report about the world in the year of 2010. You're posting something about an event outside the dataset (different year) with an incongruent duration (about 94% less) and incongruent of the amount of datapoint (about 96% less).

Here is a story from 2010.

http://gatewaypundit.rightnetwork.com/2 ... 000-years/

Brrr… Great Britain Experiences Coldest Winter in 1,000 Years
Posted by Jim Hoft on Thursday, December 30, 2010, 8:22 PM

BRITAIN’S winter is the coldest since 1683 and close to being the chilliest in nearly 1,000 years.

Latest figures reveal that the average temperature since December 1 has been a perishing -1C.

That makes it the second coldest since records began in 1659.

The chilliest on record was 1683/84, when the average was -1.17C and the River Thames froze over for two months.

But with January and February to come, experts believe we could suffer the most freezing cold winter in the last 1,000 years.

Hmm, I see, to remember similar news last winter yet it didn't move the needle at all? Yup, global warming abound.
 
January 2010 freeze makes list of nation’s top 10 weather events

http://blogs.palmbeachpost.com/eyeonthe ... er-events/

9) Record Cold Snap over Florida: A series of arctic air masses invaded the Sunshine state during the first half of January resulting in a stretch of abnormally cold weather. Temperatures were well below freezing during the arctic surge resulting in 175 new lowest minimum temperature records being established. Key West recorded its second all-time lowest temperature at 42 degrees. There was even snow flurries reported in Orlando. The sub-freezing temperatures wreaked havoc on the citrus crop, estimating nearly 450 million dollars in crop loss.

Nope, didn't move the needle either.
 
redrumloa said:
Here is a story from 2010.

http://gatewaypundit.rightnetwork.com/2 ... 000-years/

Brrr… Great Britain Experiences Coldest Winter in 1,000 Years
Posted by Jim Hoft on Thursday, December 30, 2010, 8:22 PM
Getting better Red.. At least it's in the same analysis period. I'd say your next problem to over come is one of statistics. Winter started 12/22. So we're talking what 9 days? Out of 365? If 3% is cold and the other 97% it's fairly easy to see why 2010 could be warm even with some statisicatlly cooler days. Your problem here Red is 3% of overly cold days simply isn't a significant enough event to offset the rest of the heat.


Hmm, I see, to remember similar news last winter yet it didn't move the needle at all? Yup, global warming abound.
The problem here is your memory not the needle. You can go back to the other posts where the Canadians reminded you of the fear of no snow for the Olympics and my coverage of Minnesota.

January 2010 freeze makes list of nation’s top 10 weather events
In Florida. Again you are taking a small chunk of data, Florida, and assuming this is the USA. NOAA Jan 2010 Month resulted in .3 degrees above average for the contiguous US. Other areas, like New Zealand and Africa, were experiencing record warmth.

Nope, didn't move the needle either.
Of course it did... Again your problem with statistics. A cool Jan in Florida is pretty small slice of the surface area of the globe. The other 99.7% moves the needle too. Columbia hit their record high on Jan 24, 2010. Solomn islands record high Feb 1, 2010. I know you don't trust the land temps.(Basically if not in your favor.) How about the satellites? : "The global-average lower tropospheric temperature anomaly soared to +0.72 deg. C in January, 2010. This is the warmest January in the 32-year satellite-based data record." -- Roy Spencer.

I think what we see is a good example of a well known issue that science is meant to work to overcome. We people are built to identify patterns. We give evidence that we experience first hand more weight in the decision making process. The question of Climate Change is a Global question over time. We must look past the windows of our home. Certainly proximal events are important and in statistical analysis their receive their fair share of the pie. This sort of immediate bias in humans is well known and well established.

Does Dec 2010 or Jan 2011 mean something? Certainly! We are simply to close to the event to give it a proper analysis.
 
redrumloa said:
9) Record Cold Snap over Florida: A series of arctic air masses invaded the Sunshine state ...

Arctic air masses? Wonder where they came from. Oh, wait. The Arctic maybe?

You know that your freezer uses electric power and in doing so it actually heats your house and yet ... when you open the freezer it's freezing cold in there. It doesn't matter how cold it is in the freezer, the sum of the heat inside the freezer and outside is always rising.

This isn't a direct analogy but it does illustrate that you can't just point to a cold part of the system and say - "see, the system is cold".
 
redrumloa said:
Nope, didn't move the needle either.
Here's world view where the Florida "needle" is clearly seen. You can see clearly that Florida has been, for the year, barely on the cold side. So your needle did move!

A bit later you can see your needle moving again in a bit closer detail, as it's all of the USA. The next page displays Boston, MA. I think this demonstrates well my statements on the importance of statistics. These #s are over time and over area. The small blue drop below at the end of the year didn't make up for the other 11 months of above average temperatures.

And the closest view of your needle demonstrates how the cooling worked for Miami, Florida. Even though Miami had the hottest summer on record the much colder winter months (Nov-March) offset that heat producing a net colder year.

Overall, your needle was accepted and moved it colder. Simply put the small net negative temps in the small amount of land made up by Flordia didn't offset the world. There are 11 pages here. It really doesn't take all that much time to review.
 
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