- Joined
- Aug 25, 2005
- Messages
- 5,144
- Reaction score
- 1,243
' NOAA has released its annual State of the Climate report for the year 2010, and it goes down in the record books as another hot one, in a statistical tie with 2005 as the warmest year on record. But what's most striking about this past year's data is how it fits into the larger trend. The list of the 10 warmest years since NOAA's records started now features nine years from the last decade, and we haven't seen a year with temperatures below the 20th century average since 1976. '
In case you want to check this yourself all of NOAA's stuff is public domain. Go here
NASA agrees
'RELEASE : 11-014 NASA Research Finds 2010 Tied For Warmest Year On Record
WASHINGTON -- Global surface temperatures in 2010 tied 2005 as the warmest on record, according to an analysis released Wednesday by researchers at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York.
The two years differed by less than 0.018 degrees Fahrenheit. The difference is smaller than the uncertainty in comparing the temperatures of recent years, putting them into a statistical tie. In the new analysis, the next warmest years are 1998, 2002, 2003, 2006, 2007 and 2009, which are statistically tied for third warmest year. The GISS records begin in 1880.
The analysis found 2010 approximately 1.34 F warmer than the average global surface temperature from 1951 to 1980. To measure climate change, scientists look at long-term trends. The temperature trend, including data from 2010, shows the climate has warmed by approximately 0.36 F per decade since the late 1970s'
..
My 2 cents... What the trend shows is a sawtooth pattern of continual increase. About every 10-12 years the temp dips back down and then grows hotter than the period before. I know some here think Dec 2010 is some return of Global Cooling. I wonder, out loud obviously, is perhaps it might not be the beginning for that first large drop at the beginning of the sawtooth? Who/What is right of course won't be known for years. The Dec 2010 cooling is worth considering but we need to also consider the timeframes surrounding this date. Which clearly we're not far enough out to even know how 2011 will truly perform. Scientific observation will continue.
In case you want to check this yourself all of NOAA's stuff is public domain. Go here
NASA agrees
'RELEASE : 11-014 NASA Research Finds 2010 Tied For Warmest Year On Record
WASHINGTON -- Global surface temperatures in 2010 tied 2005 as the warmest on record, according to an analysis released Wednesday by researchers at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York.
The two years differed by less than 0.018 degrees Fahrenheit. The difference is smaller than the uncertainty in comparing the temperatures of recent years, putting them into a statistical tie. In the new analysis, the next warmest years are 1998, 2002, 2003, 2006, 2007 and 2009, which are statistically tied for third warmest year. The GISS records begin in 1880.
The analysis found 2010 approximately 1.34 F warmer than the average global surface temperature from 1951 to 1980. To measure climate change, scientists look at long-term trends. The temperature trend, including data from 2010, shows the climate has warmed by approximately 0.36 F per decade since the late 1970s'
..
My 2 cents... What the trend shows is a sawtooth pattern of continual increase. About every 10-12 years the temp dips back down and then grows hotter than the period before. I know some here think Dec 2010 is some return of Global Cooling. I wonder, out loud obviously, is perhaps it might not be the beginning for that first large drop at the beginning of the sawtooth? Who/What is right of course won't be known for years. The Dec 2010 cooling is worth considering but we need to also consider the timeframes surrounding this date. Which clearly we're not far enough out to even know how 2011 will truly perform. Scientific observation will continue.