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UCLA anthropologist Jeff Brantingham says he's not surprised. Human behavior, especially when in search of resources, follows very predictable patterns. For his doctoral work, Brantingham studied foraging strategies of ancient hunter-gatherers in Mongolia.
"It's surprising how similar the problems are," he said. "How it is that ancient hunter-gatherers found gazelles on the Mongolian steppes is very similar to how it is that offenders find a car to steal."
He says crime, especially property crime, happens in predictable waves.
"If your house is broken into, then the chance that it is going to be broken into again goes way up, and the chance that your neighbor's house is going to be broken into goes way up," he said.
That's because crooks now know the area and go back to where they had success. Brantingham says these crime waves show up in patterns similar to the aftershocks of an earthquake.
http://www.npr.org/2011/11/26/142758000/at-lapd-predicting-crimes-before-they-happen
"It's surprising how similar the problems are," he said. "How it is that ancient hunter-gatherers found gazelles on the Mongolian steppes is very similar to how it is that offenders find a car to steal."
He says crime, especially property crime, happens in predictable waves.
"If your house is broken into, then the chance that it is going to be broken into again goes way up, and the chance that your neighbor's house is going to be broken into goes way up," he said.
That's because crooks now know the area and go back to where they had success. Brantingham says these crime waves show up in patterns similar to the aftershocks of an earthquake.
http://www.npr.org/2011/11/26/142758000/at-lapd-predicting-crimes-before-they-happen
