Ready for the next Ice Age? Winter is coming.

[Robert]

Everybody rejoice: compared to the previous year, 2017 was Global Cooling.

Planet finally stops setting warmest year records; 2017 merely finishes Top 3

It turns out that the cold weather in the eastern United States around the holiday season was not indicative of what was happening on the rest of the planet, much less for the rest of the year.

After three consecutive "hottest on record" years in 2014, 2015, and 2016, the dubious trophy was not expected to change hands again this year. In fact, in our coverage of the 2016 numbers last January, we highlighted the UK Met Office prediction that 2017 would probably come in third by a hair, which it did.

A number of global temperature datasets compared (in degrees Fahrenheit).

While continued global warming is the reason that we keep breaking records, there is a significant amount of natural variability that determines which years end up being the record breakers. The largest factor is the El Niño Southern Oscillation, a pattern of warm surface water distribution in the Pacific Ocean. El Niño years have slightly elevated global average surface temperatures, while La Niña years tend to drop just below the long-term trend line. After strong El Niño conditions in 2015 faded in 2016, 2017 saw pretty neutral conditions that eventually shifted into a mild La Niña. As a result, 2017 global temperature stayed a tick below 2016.

 

[redrumloa]

Everybody rejoice: compared to the previous year, 2017 was Global Cooling.

Planet finally stops setting warmest year records; 2017 merely finishes Top 3

It turns out that the cold weather in the eastern United States around the holiday season was not indicative of what was happening on the rest of the planet, much less for the rest of the year.

After three consecutive "hottest on record" years in 2014, 2015, and 2016, the dubious trophy was not expected to change hands again this year. In fact, in our coverage of the 2016 numbers last January, we highlighted the UK Met Office prediction that 2017 would probably come in third by a hair, which it did.

A number of global temperature datasets compared (in degrees Fahrenheit).

While continued global warming is the reason that we keep breaking records, there is a significant amount of natural variability that determines which years end up being the record breakers. The largest factor is the El Niño Southern Oscillation, a pattern of warm surface water distribution in the Pacific Ocean. El Niño years have slightly elevated global average surface temperatures, while La Niña years tend to drop just below the long-term trend line. After strong El Niño conditions in 2015 faded in 2016, 2017 saw pretty neutral conditions that eventually shifted into a mild La Niña. As a result, 2017 global temperature stayed a tick below 2016.

 

[redrumloa]

Globalist Davos Summit Buried in Snow as Elites Gather to Discuss Global Warming

 

[FluffyMcDeath]

Globalist Davos Summit Buried in Snow as Elites Gather to Discuss Global Warming

NEWS FLASH - Ski Resort gets snow in the winter!

Global warming increases evaporation, increases atmospheric water content, increases precipitation.

 

[redrumloa]

NEWS FLASH - Ski Resort gets snow in the winter!

Global warming increases evaporation, increases atmospheric water content, increases precipitation.

Yup, they just keep moving the goal posts.

 

[FluffyMcDeath]

Yup, they just keep moving the goal posts.

This is more about you picking goal posts you like. You will find lots of failed "predictions", especially off the cuff ones in the media. Your chances of getting old science is to use old examples too. Does this weather that we are currently having mean that the scientists who were saying we are heading for an ice age have become correct? Or, is the planet actually still warming? And, all of this while solar output continues to fall as we head into an ever weakening sunspot cycle. But look, snow - in a certain place. Gosh.

 

[redrumloa]

This is more about you picking goal posts you like. You will find lots of failed "predictions", especially off the cuff ones in the media. Your chances of getting old science is to use old examples too. Does this weather that we are currently having mean that the scientists who were saying we are heading for an ice age have become correct? Or, is the planet actually still warming? And, all of this while solar output continues to fall as we head into an ever weakening sunspot cycle. But look, snow - in a certain place. Gosh.

I'm not the one trying to use scare tactics based on fraudulent data to enslave to world. This wasn't an "off the cuff" remark by some random person on the street. This was the official position of the Global Warming Cult Leadership and based on "settled science". Same thing with the polar bears who were supposed to be extinct already. Not only did that not happen, their population has absolutely exploded.

Yeah, not just some "off the cuff remarks". They just get people like you to repeat talking points to take focus off their own failed predictions and faked data, while pushing new laughable alarmist predictions. It's all a scam and you are still falling for it.

 

[redrumloa]

According to the Global Warming Cult Leaders, temperatures were supposed to be boiling off the oceans by now.

Cult members may forget, but I don't.

Runaway climate change

Although these terms are rarely used in the peer-reviewed climatological literature,[5][6] that literature does use the similar phrase "runaway greenhouse effect", which refers specifically to climate changes that cause a planetary body's water to boil off.

How close is runaway climate change?
Paul Brown
Wed 18 Oct 2006 10.45 EDTFirst published on Wed 18 Oct 2006 10.45 EDT

The phrase "tipping point" is heard a lot more from scientists. This is where a small amount of warming sets off unstoppable changes, for example the melting of the ice caps. Once the temperature rises a certain amount then all the ice caps will melt. The tipping point in many scientists' view is the 2˚C rise that the EU has adopted as the maximum limit that mankind can risk. Beyond that, as unwelcome changes in the earth's reaction to extra warmth continue, it is theoretically possible to trigger runaway climate change, making the earth's atmosphere so different that most of life would be threatened.

Yeah, no. According to the faked hockey stick chart, we're already dead.

 

[Robert]

Global warming increases evaporation, increases atmospheric water content, increases precipitation.

This may have nothing to do with global warming but it certainly involves increased precipitation (much like the snow in the Sahara):
Paris on flooding alert as rising Seine causes travel disruption
Galleries consider moving works of art as water levels approach highest mark in over a century.
The river overflowed earlier this week because of flood water from upstream where the basin that feeds the Seine has received twice as much rain as normal.

 

[FluffyMcDeath]

According to the Global Warming Cult Leaders, temperatures were supposed to be boiling off the oceans by now.

Cult members may forget, but I don't.

A lot of what you present when you do this sort of stuff is things that are coming right out of the oil and gas PR firms. There are lots of anecdotes, lots of name calling but not much sober analysis. Saying "Global Warming Cult Leaders and Members" is just your version of the Communists' "Capitalist Running Dogs" or the Democrats' "Deplorables". It's a a psychological trick often used to galvanise people against other people and to shut down thought about certain positions or fields of knowledge. If you dehumanise the opposition such that you don't have need to investigate what they say, strawman the opposition' s views so that you now only have a fake and easily attacked idea of what is really being said, and then, further to that, be convinced that the other side only wants the worst for you and, by inference, the side telling you all these things just has your best interests at heart, you become a willing soldier for those who promulgate this campaign.

E.g.
Harry Potter celebrates witchcraft and is from Satan or The Davinci Code is from Satan - is just an attempt by churches to prevent people from viewing material that might give people the ideas and thoughts that could make them curious about what else they haven't been told leading, potentially, to a drop in active membership subsequent drop in income for the church.
Demonising the people that make such movies as witches and claiming that they are a plot to recruit souls for Satan and drag you to hell is meant prevent church members from even exploring these entertainments.

Yeah, no. According to the faked hockey stick chart, we're already dead.

Would that be the idea that many climate scientists think that 2C is probably about the limit to how far it's safe to go and the graph above that shows that we have gained about 0.6C in the last century or so?
Seems like you are showing one "fact" to the crowd and keeping your own private version of the "fact" up your sleeve.

Then there is the way you flop back and forth in the bottom of the boat - someone brings up a point that goes on the worst case scenario and it's scare mongering. If something like it happens but not where you live then it didn't happen, and if some other scientist comes out with information that looks like it indicates that we have more time to prevent a bad outcome than some other scientists think then you take that to mean that the whole study of greenhouse driven climate change is a lie. It's a lot like the way Creationists seem to work. Science proves God and science is all a lie!!

 

[Robert]

.. and if some other scientist comes out with information that looks like it indicates that we have more time to prevent a bad outcome..

Something like this, perhaps?

Studies off Svalbard have found that methane bubble plumes there pre-date human-caused climate change. And, counterintuitively, those plumes have been shown to actually cause a net removal of atmospheric greenhouse gas by stimulating the growth of plankton that consume CO2. So there’s a lot to account for before projecting what the future holds for this particular feedback.

---

That indicates that things like hungry microbes are effectively preventing the methane that's being released on the seafloor from reaching the atmosphere once the water is deep enough. Since most of the Beaufort Sea is more than 30 meters deep, that means Beaufort seafloor methane isn’t being directly dumped into the atmosphere, even if warmer water is causing the seafloor to produce more.

In other words, the news is good, assuming other areas of the Arctic Ocean are behaving similarly. The obvious next question is: how will these processes respond to continued global warming? If the seafloor releases more methane, will microbes keep up as the water they live in warms?

 

[Robert]

DO THE MATH —
Yes, sea level rise really is accelerating
It is now apparent even in the short 25-year-long satellite record.

The average rate of sea level rise for the 25-year period of 1993 to 2017 is 2.9 millimeters per year, but the researchers calculate that it has been accelerating by 0.084 ± 0.025 millimeters per year each year. The bulk of that acceleration is due to increasing ice loss from Greenland and Antarctica.

For context, the researchers extrapolate that acceleration out to 2100, finding that it would mean about 65 centimeters of sea level rise (more than double what we’d get with no acceleration). That’s well within the projected range of 52 to 98 centimeters given by the last IPCC report for the high-emissions scenario.

Both sets of numbers, however, are acknowledged as conservative. The IPCC reports have struggled with how to represent fast-changing sea level research, choosing to include only what could be confidently quantified and noting that additional factors could change extrapolation. Last year’s US National Climate Assessment instead summarized the research by including plausible sea level rise scenarios as high as 250 centimeters.

But even if the loss of ice from Greenland and Antarctica simply continued on the trajectory from recent years, this study suggests we would expect to see around 65 centimeters by the end of the century. That’s because sea level rise really is accelerating—as expected—enough that it’s now apparent even in the 25-year-long satellite record.

 

[redrumloa]

Biggest scam in human history.

NOAA Caught Adjusting Big Freeze out of Existence

Here is NOAA’s January 2018 chart for Northeast U.S. – an area which includes New England along with NY, PA, NJ, DE and MD.



You’d never guess from it that those regions had just experienced record-breaking cold, would you?

Does that pass the smell test for you?

Now, Homewood has given the same treatment to the most recent Big Freeze – the winter of 2017/2018.

Yet again, he has found that NOAA’s arbitrary adjustments tell a lie. They claim that January 2018 was warmer in the New York region than January 1943, when the raw data from local stations tells us this just isn’t true.

So at the three sites of Ithaca, Auburn and Geneva, we find that January 2018 was colder than January 1943 by 1.0, 1.7 and 1.3F respectively.

Yet NOAA say that the division was 2.1F warmer last month. NOAA’s figure makes last month at least 3.1F warmer in comparison with 1943 than the actual station data warrants.​

He concludes:

Clearly NOAA’s highly homogenised and adjusted version of the Central Lakes temperature record bears no resemblance at all the the actual station data.

And if this one division is so badly in error, what confidence can there be that the rest of the US is any better?​

Well indeed. The key point here is that while NOAA frequently makes these adjustments to the raw data, it has never offered a convincing explanation as to why they are necessary. Nor yet, how exactly their adjusted data provides a more accurate version of the truth than the original data.

 

[redrumloa]

‘March Miracle’: Six-Foot Snow Dump Ends California Drought

U.S. Drought Monitor had estimated that 92 percent of California was “abnormally dry,” 48 percent was in “moderate drought,” and 20 percent was in “severe drought.” The situation had become so grim that the U.S. National Weather Service’s Climate Outcome Likelihood website estimated the probability of the state receiving its average annual rainfall was just 9 percent.

But in the first four days of March, Winter Storm Quinn increased the 2017-2018 annual snowfall in California’s Sierra Mountains by almost 50 percent. With Mammoth Mountain Ski Area hammered by 60 inches of new snow, and winds gusting up to 100 miles an hour, a March 3 avalanche partially buried three skiers and caused closure of all lifts and ski runs.

The Arctic storm dumped more snow on the morning of March 4 as the tail end of the storm system moved off to the east. The Weather Service is forecasting five days of clear skies, warming temperatures, and low winds across for California mountain areas. But a new storm system is forecast to bring another snow dump across the Sierras beginning on March 8.

 

[redrumloa]

Penguin ‘Supercolony’ Discovered in Antarctica; Another Global Warming Scare Story Bites the Dust

Researchers in Antarctica have discovered a supercolony of 1.5 million Adélie penguins whose existence was previously unknown to biologists.

Obviously this is great news for Adélie penguin fans. But terrible news for environmentalists. The penguin is what you might call their ‘polar bear of the south’ – that is, the cute, lovable, telegenic species most frequently cited in their propaganda stories about polar critters threatened by “climate change.”

Here are a few examples.

From the WWF website:

Adélie penguins are increasing in Antarctica. However, in areas where climate change is established, Adélie populations have fallen by more than 65% in the past 25 years. The biggest threat to them right now is climate change (other penguins, like gentoos, are better adapted to warmer climates).​

From a NASA-funded study:

In a paper published June 29 in the journal Scientific Reports, the researchers project that approximately 30 percent of current Adélie colonies may be in decline by 2060, and approximately 60 percent of the present population might be dwindling by 2099. They also found the penguins at more southerly sites in Antarctica may be less affected by climate change.​

From a CBS News story, headlined ’11 Species Threatened by Climate Change’

As global warming reshapes the Antarctic coast, the Adélie penguin could be one of the many species that suffers. The loss of sea ice coverage is expected to negatively impact its annual migration and winter survival while projected heavier snowfall could reduce the suitability of nest sites.​

From a Guardian yarn headlined ‘Penguin disaster as only two chicks survive from colony of 40,000’

Elsewhere, human pressures including climate change have already been having a severe impact on the numbers of Adélie penguins. On the Antarctic Peninsula, which has been badly affected by climate change, populations have been decreasing, and some researchers suggest they may become extinct there.​

And – my favorite – check out this hysterical quote offered to the Independent by the WWF ‘s Head of Polar Programs, talking about the Adélie penguin breeding problem:

“This devastating event contrasts with the Disney image that many people might have of penguins. It’s more like ‘Tarantino does Happy Feet’, with dead penguin chicks strewn across a beach in Adélie Land.​

[I would so pay to see that movie.]

Anyway, you get the idea. Even before this discovery, the Adélie penguin was in no more in danger of extinction than the polar bear – and for much the same reasons: because there are lots and lots and lots of them; because there is no evidence that they are in any way troubled by “climate change.”

Now, 1.5 million more of the pesky critters have been discovered out of the blue. And for all we know – the experts clearly don’t – this could be the first of many supercolonies which have hitherto evaded the attentions of Antarctic research teams.

 

[Robert]

Obviously this is great news for Adélie penguin fans. But terrible news for environmentalists. The penguin is what you might call their ‘polar bear of the south’ – that is, the cute, lovable, telegenic species most frequently cited in their propaganda stories about polar critters threatened by “climate change.”

Newly discovered penguin colony == no such thing as global warming is a hilariously silly conclusion to jump to.

It seems that when it comes to scientific discoveries, you hold the opinion of Beitbart in higher regard than the opinions of those who actually made the discoveries but I'll leave this here anyway:

Professor Michael Polito, an ecologist at the Louisiana State University who participated in the research, said:
“Not only do the Danger Islands hold the largest population of Adélie penguins on the Antarctic Peninsula, they also appear to have not suffered the population declines found along the western side of Antarctic Peninsula that are associated with recent climate change,”

 

[FluffyMcDeath]

And – my favorite – check out this hysterical quote offered to the Independent by the WWF ‘s Head of Polar Programs, talking about the Adélie penguin breeding problem:

“This devastating event contrasts with the Disney image that many people might have of penguins. It’s more like ‘Tarantino does Happy Feet’, with dead penguin chicks strewn across a beach in Adélie Land.​

[I would so pay to see that movie.]

so ... the starving chick thing never happened?

 

[Robert]

Thirteen major world cities could see 'alarming' 2C temperature rise over next decade, report suggests

The Belgian city of Leuven faces the highest potential increase among a hundred cities that were included in the report by the Urban Climate Change Research Network, based at Columbia University.

Cities that could see the steep temperature increases by the 2020s include Geneva in Switzerland (2.5C), Shenzhen in China (2.3C) and Tsukuba in Japan (2.3C), the study showed.

*A brief search didn't turn up the source report for this so the story may be either sensationalised or a complete fabrication, although the latter certainly strikes me as unlikely.

 

[redrumloa]

Not quite the breaking story as I've been saying it for 13+ years now.

New Book Details How Al Gore ‘Lavishly’ Profited Off Climate Lobbying

And it’s not just universities, professors, and green organizations that have reaped financial benefits from the climate panic. Former vice president Al Gore has done quite well for himself, too. As Bloomberg News reported, “In the last personal finance report he filed as vice president, Gore disclosed on May 22, 2000, that the value of his assets totaled between $780,000 and $1.9 million.”

Buy by 2007, Gore’s wealth had skyrocketed. By that point he had a net worth “well in excess” of $100 million, including pre–public offering Google stock options, according to an article at Fast Company. MIT scientist Richard Lindzen declared that Gore wanted to become the world’s first “carbon billionaire.” After the Obama administration bloated climate and energy stimulus packages, Gore was on the path to that achievement.

By 2008, Gore was so flush that he announced a $300 million campaign to promote climate fears and so-called solutions. And he just kept raking it in. According to a 2012 Washington Post report, “14 green-tech firms in which Gore invested received or directly benefited from more than $2.5 billion in loans, grants and tax breaks, part of Obama’s historic push to seed a U.S. renewable-energy industry with public money.”

The Post explained that Gore “benefited from a powerful resume and a constellation of friends in the investment world and in Washington. And four years ago, his portfolio aligned smoothly with the agenda of an incoming administration and its plan to spend billions in stimulus funds on alternative energy. The recovering politician was pushing the right cause at the perfect time. Gore’s orbit extended deeply into the administration, with several former aides winning senior clean-energy posts.”

Republican Congressman Fred Upton of Michigan, the chair of the Energy and Commerce Committee, has been a critic of Gore’s profiting off the taxpayer funds using his government connections. Gore’s portfolio “is reflective of a disturbing pattern that those closest to the president [Obama] have been rewarded with billions of taxpayer dollars and benefited from the administration’s green bonanza in the rush to spend stimulus cash.”

Remember when I told you Porkulous was nothing other than crooked Democrats making themselves filthy rich? Red was correct once again.

There's other great stuff in the book, like this: "Warren Buffett’s vice chairman Charlie Munger told a small meeting of investors in 2017 that Gore is 'not very smart' and 'an idiot' but he was still able to amass a personal fortune in the investment world. 'Al Gore has hundreds of millions [of] dollars in your profession. And he’s an idiot. It’s an interesting story.' Munger added, 'he’s not very smart. He smoked a lot of pot as he [coasted] through Harvard with a gentleman’s C.'"

Of course he's not very smart, but enough MORONS would listen to him spreading the BIGGEST SCAM in human history so he became a billionaire while the national debt cracks $20T.

 

[FluffyMcDeath]

Not quite the breaking story as I've been saying it for 13+ years now.

New Book Details How Al Gore ‘Lavishly’ Profited Off Climate Lobbying

Meanwhile the oil and coal companies made billions in profits thus demonstrating that oil and coal are also no go.