nCoV2019 Pandimec!

How concerned are you?

  • No worse than a typical flu season

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • No worse than previous SARS & MERS outbrake

    Votes: 2 22.2%

  • Pandemic!

    Votes: 4 44.4%

  • Zombie Apocalypse!

    Votes: 1 11.1%

  • Moving to an Isolation bubble

    Votes: 1 11.1%

  • Could be worse, back in my day we had the Spanish Flu & the Black Plague

    Votes: 2 22.2%
  • Total voters
    9
86% of people with coronavirus are walking around undetected, study says

Meanwhile vacationing millennials in Florida and elsewhere...

Spring breakers criticized for packing beaches during coronavirus outbreak: 'You're an idiot'

https://twitter.com/x/status/1239134149140717570

AP20077805664080.jpg
 
Published November 2015

A SARS-like cluster of circulating bat coronaviruses shows potential for human emergence

"Here we examine the disease potential of a SARS-like virus, SHC014-CoV, which is currently circulating in Chinese horseshoe bat populations1. Using the SARS-CoV reverse genetics system2, we generated and characterized a chimeric virus expressing the spike of bat coronavirus SHC014 in a mouse-adapted SARS-CoV backbone."

chimeric
(kī-mĕr′ĭk, -mîr′-)
adj.
1. Relating to or being an organism, part, or molecule that is a chimera: chimeric mice; chimeric proteins.
2. Relating to a monoclonal antibody produced from the cells of a nonhuman organism, usually a mouse, in which a portion of the antibody has been replaced with a human sequence of amino acids. This is done in the laboratory by replacing part of the DNA sequence in the nonhuman cells with a sequence of human DNA.

"On the basis of these findings, we synthetically re-derived an infectious full-length SHC014 recombinant virus and demonstrate robust viral replication both in vitro and in vivo. Our work suggests a potential risk of SARS-CoV re-emergence from viruses currently circulating in bat populations."



reddit thread from a month ago:
A Brief, Terrifying History of Viruses Escaping From Labs



 
Math lesson: Exponential growth & Logistic Curves


The more people who worry and alter their behavior, the more likely exposure and infections can be slowed

Of course, if successful at limiting the exponential growth, afterwards people will then complain the quarantines, economic disruptions and worry about exponential growth of infections was unnecessary, and everything was a mass hysteria over nothing
 
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Feb 4th:


Italy Mar 20th: cases: 41,035 deaths: 4032
 
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ETlH910WsAAtB3R


https://twitter.com/x/status/1241082360323596289

many people have multiple phone SIM cards, maybe from different carriers. Some of them may discard some cards when they cannot afford that many. We don't know what happened.

The possible reasons for mobile phone user reduction: 1. some died. 2. Some couldn't afford to top up. 3. Some didn't need that many SIM cards anymore as there were fewer business/scam activities.
 
That's us on lockdown now.
Allowed out the house for one period of exercise per day or shopping. (Which is how I've been operating for a week anyway but official now.)
 
Not my place to state their names or pinpoint who they are, but 2 people I know have the virus. One is in ICU with a DNR order, the other may have to go to ICU soon. Both are older people.
 
redrumloa said:
Not my place to state their names or pinpoint who they are, but 2 people I know have the virus. One is in ICU with a DNR order, the other may have to go to ICU soon. Both are older people.
Click to expand...
Sorry to hear that Jim.
The longer this goes on, the closer to home it gets.
 
Some confirmation of what was long suspected:
Pangolins found to carry viruses related to Covid-19
Pangolins smuggled into China have been confirmed to contain viruses closely related to the one sweeping the world.

Pangolins are the most-commonly illegally trafficked mammal, used both as food and in traditional medicine.
Bats are thought to be the original viral source, with another species playing a role in human transmission.

In a new research paper, published in the journal Nature, researchers say their genetic data suggests "handling these animals requires considerable caution, and that their sale in wet markets should be strictly prohibited."
 
Hospitals consider universal do-not-resuscitate orders for coronavirus patients

The new protocols are part of a larger rationing of lifesaving procedures and equipment — including ventilators — that is quickly becoming a reality here as in other parts of the world battling the virus. The concerns are not just about health-care workers getting sick but also about them potentially carrying the virus to other patients in the hospital.

While he said his hospital’s policy still called for a full response to patients whose heart or breathing stopped, he worried any efforts would be challenging, if not futile.

“By the time you get all gowned up and double-gloved the patient is going to be dead,” he said. “We are going to be coding dead people. It is a nightmare.”
 
UK Prime Minister has just tested positive.
 
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